WP 531 Determinants of road traffic crash fatalities across Indian States / by M.Grimm and C.Treibich
ISS Working Paper 531 by Michael Grimm and Carole Treibich
Abstract
Objective: This paper explores the determinants of road traffic crash fatalities in India. As potential factors, the analysis considers, besides income, the sociodemographic populationstructure, motorization levels, road and health infrastructure and road rule enforcement.
Methods: An original panel data set covering 25 Indian states is analyzed using multivariate regression analysis. Time and state fixed effects account for unobserved heterogeneity across states and time. Results: Rising motorization, urbanization and the accompanying increase in the share of vulnerable road users, i.e. pedestrians and two-wheelers, are the major drivers of road traffic crash fatalities in India. Among vulnerable road users, women form a particularly high risk group. Higher expenditure per policeman is associated with a lower fatality rate.
Conclusion: The results suggest that India should focus, in particular, on road infrastructure investments that allow the separation of vulnerable from other road users, on improved road rule enforcement and should pay special attention to vulnerable female road users.
Keywords
Transportation; traffic safety; vulnerable road users; road rule enforcement; urbanization; India.
About the authors
| Michael Grimm is Professor of Applied Development Economics, at the International Institute of Social Studies. He works on problems related to income distribution and poverty in developing countries. |
| Carole Treibich is a PhD fellow at the Paris School of Economics and the International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (co-tutelle). Her PhD thesis covers issues related to road safety, health and health-risk behaviour in India. |
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Publication date: Friday, 27 January 2012
